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Predictive Audiences with Taboola: The X-Ray Vision Finding the Hidden Buyers You’re Missing

  • Writer: Patrick Coyle
    Patrick Coyle
  • Aug 11
  • 2 min read
AI-powered Predictive Audiences Realize dashboard on Taboola showing audience targeting options and performance metrics
Predictive Audiences: The AI detective unlocking e-commerce growth with Realize.

Quick Summary


  • Predictive Audiences acts like an AI X-ray into who’s most likely to convert from your 1st-party data

  • AI-powered “detective” finds hidden, high-potential customers and scales performance up to 276%

  • Realize's solution outperforms lookalikes, works pre-and-post-cookie, and boosts conversion ROI

  • Beta testers saw: CVR +23%, CPA –13%, AND ROAS uplifts, e.g. The Motley Fool: +25% ROAS

  • This is the missing weapon in your e-commerce strategy — don’t sleep on it



1. What Is Predictive Audiences with Taboola?


Realize's new feature, Predictive Audiences, is a superhero-level targeting engine. It takes your first-party data—especially past converters—and uses Taboola’s advanced AI to predict who else is most likely to act. Think of it as having X-ray vision for e-commerce customers.


2. How Predictive Audiences Works


  • Smart detective-mode: Identify users with a high propensity to add to cart, sign up, or convert—without guesswork.

  • Scale beyond lookalikes: Traditional models match traits; Predictive Audiences matches behavior in real time.

  • Cookie-independent targeting: Powered by first-party signals for future-proof, privacy-conscious reach.


3. How to Activate Predictive Audiences in Realize


Using predictive audiences realize isn’t just about understanding the concept — here’s exactly how to set it up in your dashboard:


  1. Go to “Audiences” in the Realize Dashboard


    • Here you’ll find all available audience types, including Predictive Audiences.


  2. Create a New Predictive Audience


    • Define the foundation of your audience — for example, a purchase event.

    • Realize will then use this core audience to model and create your Predictive Audience.


  3. Select Predictive Audiences in Your Campaigns


    • In the campaign setup, go to “My Audiences”.

    • Choose the Predictive Audience you created.


  4. Adjust the “Similarity” Slider


    • Closer to the left = More similar to your base audience (safer start, higher quality, narrower reach).

    • Further right = Broader reach, but slightly less similar to your original high-converting group.


  5. Test Multiple Segments


    • For scale testing, split campaigns with different similarity settings (e.g., 80%, 60%, 40%) and compare results.


💡 Pro Tip: Start with the slider closer to your actual buyers for early wins, then gradually expand to broader similarities to find the sweet spot between scale and efficiency.


4. Why Marketers Should Care About predictive audiences realize


  • Higher conversion rates: Beta clients saw up to 23% lift in CVR, and –13% CPA.

  • ROAS rockets upward:

    • The Motley Fool hit +25% ROAS compared to broad targeting.

    • QuinStreet reported +22% CTR and +31% CVR.

  • Massive scale potential: Some advertisers grew Q1 spend on Realize by 43% YoY, with conversion growth as high as 276% and virtually unchanged CPA.


5. Realize vs. Traditional Lookalike Models

Feature

Lookalike Models

Realize Predictive Audiences

Data Basis

Demographics & attributes

Behavior + real-time context

Cookie Dependency

High

Minimal (first-party focused)

Scalability

Limited

High—powered by AI + network

Performance Impact

Moderate

Up to +31% CVR, +25% ROAS

6. Key Takeaways


  • predictive audiences realize acts like AI X-ray vision—find customers before they find you

  • Ideal for advertisers seeking efficient ROAS growth with minimal guesswork

  • Outperforms lookalikes, respects privacy, scales performance fast

  • Backed by impressive beta results and human-centered innovation


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This blog is a personal project and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected in any way to Taboola.com Ltd. (Taboola, 16 Madison Square West, 7th Floor, New York, NY 10010, USA) or any similar platform or company.

All content reflects my personal opinions, strategies, tips, and experiences. While I share practical insights and advertising strategies, it is your sole responsibility to assess whether applying any of these approaches is appropriate for your business and risk appetite. I do not speak on behalf of Taboola or any other organization.

Use of any advice provided here is at your own discretion and risk.

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